KONDA Inflation Expectation Survey - September 25

SUMMARY

The public's 12-month inflation perception, which averaged 106 percent in July, rose to 108 percent by September. Similarly, 12-month ahead inflation expectations, which stood at 99 percent in July, rose by 7 percentage points to 106 percent by September.

The inflation expectations of those who indicated they would vote for Erdoğan increased by 8 percentage points compared to July. Those who follow current events on Twitter have higher inflation expectations than others. Furthermore, a significant correlation is observed between spending on certain expenditure items and the inflation expectations of CHP voters in particular.

This section presents the September 25 results of the KONDA Inflation Expectations Survey:

• What percentage do you think prices have increased on average from September 2024 to this September, i.e., over the past year? (108%)
• What percentage do you think prices will increase over the next 12 months, i.e., from September 2025 to September 2026? (106%)
• What percentage do you think prices will increase from the beginning to the end of 2025, i.e., from January to December?
• Inflation expectations by age groups
• Inflation expectations by working groups
• Inflation expectations of Erdoğan and İmamoğlu voters
• Inflation expectations if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins the upcoming presidential election
• Inflation expectations by spending habits
• Inflation expectations by current events
• Inflation expectations by spending items