SUMMARY
In July, inflation expectations for the next 12 months were measured at 83 percent, down 6 percentage points from the previous month. This decline was particularly pronounced among white-collar workers, households of 1–2 people, those who identify as “Traditional Conservative” in terms of lifestyle, and college graduates. The findings also indicate significant correlations between inflation expectations and assessments of the impact of government policies on the economy, the tendency to switch to generic brands when shopping, and the frequency of dining out.
This content is a version of the KONDA Inflation Expectations Survey’s KONDA Barometer exclusively for subscribers. This version includes additional questions regarding demographic and political divisions.
This section presents the results of the KONDA Inflation Expectations Survey for July ’26:
- From July 2025 to this July, that is, over the past year,by what average percentage do you think prices have increased? (87 percent)
- In your opinion, by what percentage will prices have increased over the next 12 months—that is, from July 2026 to July 2027? (83%)
- In your opinion, by what percentage will prices have increased from the beginning to the end of 2026—that is, from January to December? (71%)
- Inflation expectations by place of residence,
- Inflation expectations among Erdoğan and İmamoğlu voters,
- Inflation expectations based on the impact of the government’s policies on family budgets and the national economy in the coming year,
- Inflation expectations based on shopping habits, such as choosing cheaper or equivalent brands,
- Inflation expectations based on the frequency of eating out at restaurants and cafes.
