Political Parties
Evaluations about and expectations for the discourse, decisions and policies of political parties through current events.
28 Results
Political Preferences
March'25 Barometer - 162
7"
31 Mar 2025
The section includes which party the participants would prefer to vote for if there were an election today, who they want to govern Turkey, a possible presidential election scenario between Erdoğan and İmamoğlu, and an analysis and evaluation of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's report card grade:Which party would you vote for if there were an election today? (direct preference and s
Political Preferences
February'25 Barometer - 161
1"
28 Feb 2025
The section analyzes and evaluates which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they would like to govern Turkey and th
Siyaset
Oy tercihi
Seçim
Erdoğan
RTE
Cumhurbaşkanı
Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Erdoğan karne
Türkiye'yi kim yönetsin?
Devlet Bahçeli
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Mansur Yavaş
Müsavat Dervişoğlu
Özgür Özel
Selahattin Demirtaş
Ümit Özdağ
Barometre 161
Political Preferences
January'25 Barometer - 160
41"
31 Jan 2025
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey, their expectations for ea
Politics
Vote preference
Election
Erdogan
RTE
President
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan
Erdogan report card
Early election
Constitutional amendment
Who should govern Turkey?
Devlet Bahceli
Ekrem İmamoglu
Fatih Erbakan
Mansur Yavas
Müsavat Dervisoglu
Ozgur Ozel
Selahattin Demirtas
Umit Ozdag
Barometer160
Political Preferences
December'24 Barometer - 159
21"
31 Dec 2024
The chapter covers which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want governing Turkey, the change in party bases according to voter clusters and President Erdoğan's report card. The section also includes Prof. Hasan Kirmanoğlu's analysis of the Ak Parti and CHP voter clusters.
Election
Leaders
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Ekrem Imamoglu
Devlet Bahçeli
Fatih Erbakan
Mansur Yavaş
Müsavat Dervişoğlu
Özgür Özel
Selahattin Demirtaş
Ümit Özdağ
Presidential Election
Political Parties
Who Should Govern Turkey?
Political Preferences
November'24 Barometer - 158
14"
30 Nov 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey and President Erdoğan's report card:Which party
If there were an election today
Who should govern Turkey
Devlet Bahçeli
Fatih Erbakan
Mansur Yavaş
Özgür Özel
Müsavat Dervişoğlu
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Selahattin Demirtaş
Ümit Özdağ
Presidency
Election
Presidential Election
Political Leaders
Leaders
Erdoğan's report card
Report card
President's report card
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Political Preferences
July'24 Barometer - 155
8"
31 Jul 2024
This section examines participants' voting preferences if an election were held today, as well as their evaluations of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Min
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Hasan Kirmanoğlu
Vote Preference
Mehmet Şimşek report card
Erdoğan's report card
President
Minister of Treasury and Finance
Inflation
Economy
Governance
Duty
Analysis of Political Party Leaders' Speeches
July'24 Barometer - 155
10"
31 Jul 2024
This section analyzes the speeches of political party leaders in parliament and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's post-cabinet meeting statements using the "d
Özgür Özel
Selahattin Demirtaş
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Devlet Bahçeli
Müsavat Dervişoğlu
DEM Parti
Political parties
Political leaders
Leaders
Presidential speeches
Speech analysis
Populism
Manichaeist
Elitism
Anti-elitism
Discourse
Presidential discourse
Discourse analysis
Dictionary method
Speech Analysis of Political Party Leaders
June'24 Barometer - 154
3"
28 Jun 2024
This section presents discourse analyses conducted using the "dictionary method" on parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and speeches delivered
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Erdoğan
AKP
Devlet Bahçeli
MHP
Meral Akşener
İYİP
DEM
HDP
Özgür Özel
CHP
Speech analysis
Discourse analysis
Political leaders
Speech analysis of leaders
Discourse analysis of leaders
Speeches by leaders
President
President Erdoğan
AK Party
Good Party
DEM Party
Populism
Terror
Migration
Employment
Economy
Turkey
Turkish
Nationalist
Trustee
Trusteeship
Hakkari
Political Preferences
June'24 Barometer - 154
4"
28 Jun 2024
The section includes participants' preferred political party if an election were held today, their self-placement on the left-right political spectrum, and t
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
AKP
CHP
MHP
HDP
DEM
İYİP
Vote preference
Right-Left
Right-Left Scale
Erdoğan's report card
President report card
AK Party
Good Party
Victory Party
ZP
YRP
Swing voters
Non voters
Election
Comparative Advantage, Political Polarization and Economic Voting
May'24 Barometer - 153
5"
31 May 2024
Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu evaluates political polarization in Turkey by analyzing KONDA's monthly data from March 2012 to May 2024:Comparative advantage of swing voters for CHP voters over Ak Parti voters.
CHP
Ak Parti
Undecided
Hasan Kirmanoglu
Voter profile
Tendency
Swing voters
Analysis Of Political Party Leaders' Speeches
May'24 Barometer - 153
2"
31 May 2024
The section analyzes the discourse in the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's speeches following the cabinet meetings using the “dictionary method”:Populism scores of political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of 8 different topics in political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of the topics
Political Leaders
Political Leaders Speech Analysis
DEM
Özgür Özel
DEM Party
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Populist discourse
Political issues
Discourse analysis
Turkey
Turkish
National
CHP
Kobani
Kurdish
Political
Politics
Parliament
Parliament speeches
Democratic
Political Preferences
May'24 Barometer - 153
0"
31 May 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today and President Erdoğan's report card.Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)What is your report card grade on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's performance as president?
Current Politics
May'24 Barometer - 153
2"
31 May 2024
The section examines how well known the newly elected chairman Müsavat Dervişoğlu is in the eyes of the society after the resignation of İyi Party Chairperson Meral Akşener from the party:Do you know who the new chairman of the Iyi Parti is?How will the newly elected Iyi Parti chairman affect the party votes?
Current politics
İyi Party
Musavat Dervisoglu
Meral Aksener
Leaders
Leader change
Chairperson
Chairperson change
Numerical Analysis of 31 March Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
2"
30 Apr 2024
The section includes the number of voters and voter turnout rates by provinces and districts, invalid votes, election results and comparison of 2019 and 2024 vote rates in the March 31 Local Elections:Local elections - TurnoutDistricts with the highest turnoutDistricts with the lowest turnoutDistricts with the highest increase in turnoutDistricts
Local elections
Voter
Turnout
Voter turnout
Voting
31 March
31 March elections
31 March Local Election Analysis
Voting rate
31 March Local Elections
Election results
Invalis votes
High turnout
Low turnout
Eastern Anatolia
Southeastern Anatolia
2019
2024
2024 Local elections
Ballot box
Ballot box analysis
31 March Research Notes on Local Government Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
10"
30 Apr 2024
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu investigates the factors determining the district-based vote rates according to the results of the March 31st Local Elections. It also evaluates the effective number of parties and local elections in Turkey:Regression analysis resultsCorrespondence analysis resultsEffective number of parties
Vote rate
Voter turnout
Local elections
31 March
31 March Local Elections
Kurdish
Hasan Kirmanoglu
District
Turnout
Regression
Effective number of parties
Ballot box analysis
Correspondence analysis
Electoral Maps by Districts
April'24 Barometer - 152
2"
30 Apr 2024
In the section, the results of the March 31st Local Elections are analyzed on a district-by-district basis through maps and cartograms:2014-2019-2024 local government elections - Inter-party vote transitions in district mayorship votes2014-2019-2024 - District mayorship - Most voted party/candidate maps2019 - 2024 - Map and cartogram of party changes in district ma
March 31 local elections
Ak Parti
MHP
CHP
Municipal elections
District municipalities
Provincial municipalities
Dem Parti
cartogram
Zafer Partisi
İyi Parti
vote transitions
votes turnout rates
invalid votes
invalid vote rates
Ballot box analysis
ballot box
Analysis of Election Results by Socio-Economic Development Level
April'24 Barometer - 152
2"
30 Apr 2024
The section correlates the district-based results of the March 31st Local Elections with the 2022 SEGE (Socio-Economic Development Index) scores. In addition, provinces are divided into four clusters according to the number of voters and compared in terms of voter preferences:Distribution of SEGE clusters by regionsDistrict municipal council vote preferences by socio-econom
Socio-Economic
SEGE
2022 SEGE
Şişli
Harran
Istanbul
Şanlıurfa
Election
Local election
District-based analysis
SEGE clusters
CHP
Ak Parti
CHP voters
Ak Parti voters
Voter clusters
Clusters
Voter sizes
Number of voters
Absentee voters
Invalid votes
Election Evaluations by Voters
April'24 Barometer - 152
9"
30 Apr 2024
The section analyzes respondents' evaluations of the March 31st Local Elections. The evaluations include the Ak Parti's economic management, the CHP's candidate preferences, the change of administration in the CHP, the Ak Parti's candidate preferences, the work of Ak Parti municipalities and the work of CHP municipalities:Turkish society's assessment of the electionTh
Election
Evaluation
Voter
Election Evaluation
Ak Parti
CHP
MHP
New administration
Change of administration
Change of administration in CHP
CHP candidates
Candidate
Candidate list
CHP won
Ak Parti lost
Ak Parti administration
Government
After the local elections
Wrong candidate
Right candidate
Municipalism
Good municipalism
CHP municipalities
Ak Parti municipalities
Winners and Losers of the Election
April'24 Barometer - 152
5"
30 Apr 2024
The section discusses who the winners and losers of the March 31st Local Elections were in the eyes of the society:Who and which politician do you think was the WINNER of these local elections?Who and which politician do you think was the LOSER of these local elections?
Winner of the Election
Loser of the Election
Election
31st of March
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Mansur Yavaş
CHP
Özgür Özel
Ak Parti
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
President
RTE
Devlet Bahçeli
MHP
İyi Parti
Meral Akşener
Yeniden Refah Partisi
Fatih Erbakan
31 March Local Elections
Scorecards of Politicians Regarding Their Performances During the Election Period
April'24 Barometer - 152
5"
30 Apr 2024
In addition to Erdoğan's scorecard, which is released every month, the section analyzes the scorecard grades given by the participants to political party leaders and the two prominent candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu and Mansur Yavaş during the local election process:Average scorecard grades for the election process.Yavaş's scorecardİmamoğlu's scorecardErbakan's
Political Leaders
Party Leaders
Election process
March 31st elections
Local Elections
RTE
President
President Erdoğan
Imamoğlu
Ekrem İmamoğlu
Mansur Yavaş
İBB
ABB
Istanbul
Ankara
Municipality elections
Meral Akşener
Fatih Erbakan
Akşener
Erbakan
Tülay Hatimoğulları
DEM Parti
HDP
Özgür Özel
CHP
Tactical vote
Tuncer Bakırhan
Scorecard
Scorecard grades
Emotions After The Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
5"
30 Apr 2024
The episode includes an analysis of the emotions felt after the March 31st Local Elections:Which 2 emotions did you feel after the election on March 31st?
Local Election
March 31
Anger
Surprise
Joy
Relief
Disappointment
Concern
March 31 local elections
Election result
CHP
Ak Parti
DEM
HDP
MHP
İyi Parti
Post-election
Post-election emotions
Emotions after the election
March 31 Local Elections
Tracking Local Election Results
April'24 Barometer - 152
0"
30 Apr 2024
The section analyzes the channels through which respondents followed the election results:From which 2 sources did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which television channel did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which social media application or website did you follow the election results on March 31st?
Local Elections
Local Election Results
31 March Local Election Analysis
31 March elections
Television
Internet
Social Media
Twitter/X
X
Twitter
Following the election results
Ak Parti
CHP
MHP
DEM
HDP
YSP
İyi Parti
FOX TV
NOW TV
ANKA
ANKA News
ANKA News Agency
AA Anadolu Agency
NTV
TRT
SHOW TV
CNN TURK
KANAL D
ATV
A HABER
TRT HABER
SZC TV
Sözcü TV
Halk TV
Turk Star
Kanal 7
TV100
News channels
Local Elections
April'24 Barometer - 152
16"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines tactical voting in the March 31st Local Elections, satisfaction with vote choice, and the time when vote choice is decided. Also, Assistant Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz from Bryn Mawr College Assoc. Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz discusses the voters who broke away from the Ak Parti -MHP bloc:In the March 31st Local Elections, which party's candidate did you vote for for the
Local Elections
March 31st
CHP
Tactical Vote
Vote behavior
Undecided
Provincial elections
Municipal elections
March 31st 2024
March 31st local elections
Vote preference satisfaction
Coalition
Barometer 152
Aytuğ Şaşmaz
Ak Parti-MHP Bloc
Ak Parti-MHP
Political Preferences
April'24 Barometer - 152
8"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines the public's opinions on the results of the March 31st Local Elections and which party they would vote for if there was an election today:Election evaluation of the society in TurkeyWho and which politician do you think has been the LOSER of these local elections?Who do you think was the WINNER of these local elections and which politician?
If there was an election today
March 31
Political Preferences
Local elections
Municipal elections
Political Parties
Political Leaders
CHP
Ak Party
MHP
İyi Party
DEM
Vote
Vote preference
March 31 Local Elections
Analysis of Speeches of Political Party Leaders
February'24 Barometer - 150
5"
29 Feb 2024
In this section, we conducted a discourse analysis using the 'lexical method' on the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders, as well as the speeches made by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan after cabinet meetings and his statements regarding the local elections
Political leaders
Politicians' discourse
Discourse Analysis
Populism
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Devlet Bahçeli
Özgür Özel
Meral Akşener
DEM Party Spokespersons
Economy
Employment
Migration
Terrorism
Public order
Environment/Climate
Energy
Education
Local elections
Metropolitan city
Turkey
Turkish
Retired
Kurdish
Manichean discourse
Anti-elitism
Political Preferences
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
6"
31 Jan 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, President Erdoğan's scorecard, the characteristics they think a politician should have, and where they see themselves and their families on the left-right scale:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)Whic
Elections
LEFT
RIGHT
Left and Right
Left-Right
Left-Right Scale
Voter profile
Left voter
Right voter
Leftist
Rightist
Left-Right tendency
Observations on Non-Polarized Voters
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
8"
31 Jan 2024
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu examines the demographic characteristics and tendencies of voters who identify themselves as “swing” and “non-voters” through regression analysis.
Undecided
Non voters
Ak Parti
CHP
Ak Parti voters
CHP voters
Polarization
Political Polarization
Right-Left Scale
Hasan Kirmanoglu
Analysis of Political Party Leaders' Speeches
Januray'24 Barometer - 149
5"
31 Jan 2024
The section analyzes the discourses in the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's speeches following the cabinet meetings using the “dictionary method”:Populism scores of political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of 8 different topics in political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of the topics men
Leaders
Discourse analysis
Local elections
March 31st elections
Election discourses
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
President
Meral Akşener
Devlet Bahçeli
Özgür Özel
İyi Parti
MHP
Terror
Turkey
Budget
Martyr
Ak Parti
CHP
