Ak Parti CHP MHP Dem Parti HDP Zafer Partisi İyi parti Kararsızlar Siyasi tercihler Siyaset Oy Seçim Karne Karne notu Erdoğan'ın karnesi Ekrem İmamoğlu Mansur Yavaş Özgür Özel Cumhurbaşkanlığı Aday Güçlü devlet İstikrarlı ekonomi İnsancıl toplum Seçmen davranışı Oy verme davranışı Tarftar seçmen İdeolojik seçmen Son dakikacı İdeoloji

Voter tendencies Party preferences Distribution of undecided voters Leadership preferences Presidential election scenarios Erdoğan–İmamoğlu comparison Report card for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Evaluation of presidential performance Erdoğan's reelection prospects Election outcome expectations Perceptions of Turkey's future Political polarization Analysis of election scenarios

Politics Vote preference Election Erdogan RTE President President Recep Tayyip Erdogan Erdogan report card Early election Constitutional amendment Who should govern Turkey? Devlet Bahceli Ekrem İmamoglu Fatih Erbakan Mansur Yavas Müsavat Dervisoglu Ozgur Ozel Selahattin Demirtas Umit Ozdag Barometer160

Almanac Barometer

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Hasan Kirmanoğlu Vote Preference Mehmet Şimşek report card Erdoğan's report card President Minister of Treasury and Finance Inflation Economy Governance Duty

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan AKP CHP MHP HDP DEM İYİP Vote preference Right-Left Right-Left Scale Erdoğan's report card President report card AK Party Good Party Victory Party ZP YRP Swing voters Non voters Election

CHP Ak Parti Undecided Hasan Kirmanoglu Voter profile Tendency Swing voters

If there was an election today March 31 Political Preferences Local elections Municipal elections Political Parties Political Leaders CHP Ak Party MHP İyi Party DEM Vote Vote preference March 31 Local Elections

Election Evaluation Voter Election Evaluation Ak Parti CHP MHP New administration Change of administration Change of administration in CHP CHP candidates Candidate Candidate list CHP won Ak Parti lost Ak Parti administration Government After the local elections Wrong candidate Right candidate Municipalism Good municipalism CHP municipalities Ak Parti municipalities

Local Elections March 31st CHP Tactical Vote Vote behavior Undecided Provincial elections Municipal elections March 31st 2024 March 31st local elections Vote preference satisfaction Coalition Barometer 152 Aytuğ Şaşmaz Ak Parti-MHP Bloc Ak Parti-MHP

Local Election March 31 Anger Surprise Joy Relief Disappointment Concern March 31 local elections Election result CHP Ak Parti DEM HDP MHP İyi Parti Post-election Post-election emotions Emotions after the election March 31 Local Elections

Political polarization Polarization Kurdish issue Kurdish problem Kurdish Economy Country's economy Dollar Euro Exchange rate difference Municipality Local government Government Municipality and government Service Municipal service Local government service Improvement Worsening Government administration

Socio-Economic SEGE 2022 SEGE Şişli Harran Istanbul Şanlıurfa Election Local election District-based analysis SEGE clusters CHP Ak Parti CHP voters Ak Parti voters Voter clusters Clusters Voter sizes Number of voters Absentee voters Invalid votes

IMM Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Istanbul Elections Istanbul Election Candidates IMM Candidates Local Elections Istanbul Municipal Election Istanbul Election Nominees Local Election Candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum Oratory Istanbul Problems of Istanbul Honest Sincere Buğra Kavuncu Meral Danış Beştaş Mehmet Altınöz Sinem Dedetaş Mahir Polat Deniz Köken Ahmet Özer Mehmet Tevfik Göksu Rıza Akpolat

March 31 Local Elections Election Vote Undecided Voters Voter Voter Profile IMM Mayoralty IMM Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum Meral Danış Beştaş Buğra Kavuncu Birol Aydın Mehmet Altınöz Azmi Karamahmutoğlu CHP AK Party Undecided Voter Turnout

General election Local election Vote preference Party affiliation Ruling party Mayoral candidate Urban life Urban satisfaction City life facilities Municipality facilities Voter profile Voter satisfaction Municipality satisfaction Local election vote preference Political party decisions

Undecided Non voters Ak Parti CHP Ak Parti voters CHP voters Polarization Political Polarization Right-Left Scale Hasan Kirmanoglu

Elections LEFT RIGHT Left and Right Left-Right Left-Right Scale Voter profile Left voter Right voter Leftist Rightist Left-Right tendency

Party preferences Distribution of undecided voters Left-right political spectrum Political identity labels Erdoğan favorability Erdoğan scorecard grade Özgür Özel scorecard grade Ali Yerlikaya scorecard grade

Özgür Özel's recognition Impact of leadership change on vote preference Özgür Özel's impact on CHP Expectations of policy and discourse change Perception of Özgür Özel's sincerity Perception of Özgür Özel's competence Özgür Özel scorecard grade Effect of CHP leadership change on other parties’ vote shares

Political Preferences Election Survey Vote Shares Undecided Voters Party Preferences Turkish Politics Voter Behaviors Party Loyalty Young Voters

Voter preferences Erdoğan’s performance Erdoğan’s approval rating Party opposition Turkey’s most important problems Trust in parties to solve problems Social expectations Dream of country resemblance Political tendencies Social tendencies

Election preferences Party preference Undecided voters Voting tendency Voter behavior Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Presidential performance Evaluation of Erdoğan Erdoğan’s approval level Political leader evaluation Current politics Public opinion poll Political analysis Election survey Erdogans score card

Presidential election Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Kılıçdaroğlu voters Voter motivations Voter expectations Voter concerns Perception of the opposition View of Kılıçdaroğlu View of Erdoğan Perception of the government Ideal leader profile Leadership expectations Political emotions Dominant emotions Left-wing populism World of meaning Voter evaluation Political analysis Hope and expectation Opposition voter profile

Voting preferences Party preference Undecided voters Voter behavior Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Presidential performance evaluation Erdoğan’s report card Kılıçdaroğlu’s report card Leader approval Political leader evaluation Election scenario Public opinion poll Political perception Voter attitudes Political approval Leadership evaluation Hypothetical election Voter decision-making process Political image

General Elections May 14 Election Voter Analysis KONDA Barometer Earthquake Region Vote Loss Vote Gain Methodology Voter Behavior Political Preferences

Presidential Election 1st Round Vote Analysis Regional Distribution Election Results Erdoğan Kılıçdaroğlu Earthquake Region Turnout

Presidential Election 2nd Round Vote Analysis Election Results Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu District-Based Analysis Vote Changes Voter Behavior Political Preferences Election Maps Election Strategies

Ballot Boxes Voter Turnout Presidential Election Vote Shares Election Security Election Analysis District-Based Data Number of Voters Election Results 1st Round 2nd Round Voting Election Literacy

Election Results Socio-Economic Development SEGE District Analysis Voter Behavior Political Preferences Vote Distribution KONDA Barometer Istanbul-Şişli Şanlıurfa-Harran Political Geography Regional Development Elections in Turkey Level of Development

Voter Profiles Presidential Election 2nd Round Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Party Loyalty Vote Volatility Media Preferences Social Media Usage Voter Behavior Election Analysis Political Demographics Vote Shares Election Results

Affective Polarization Presidential Elections Perception of Political Leaders Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Respect Trust Admiration Appreciation Sincerity Hatred Voter Attitudes Political Psychology Public Opinion Research Leader Image

Voter Clusters Voter Profiles Voting Preferences Political Partis Presidential Candidates Socio-Demographics Gender Distribution Age Groups Ethnic Background Economic Status Media Consumption AK Parti (AKP) MHP CHP İYİ Parti HDP Undecided Voters Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Muharrem İnce Sinan Oğan

Election Security Voter Lists Vote Counting Public Opinion Polls Manipulation Voting Preference Elections Perception Young Voters Education Level Polarization People’s Alliance (Cumhur İttifakı) Nation Alliance (Millet İttifakı) Labor and Freedom Alliance (Emek ve Özgürlük İttifakı) Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Muharrem İnce

Negative Partisanship Voting Potentials Presidential Candidates Voter Behavior Political Polarization Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Muharrem İnce Sinan Oğan Election Age Groups Ethnic Background Undecided Voters

Election Electoral Alliances Electoral Strategies Parliamentary Election Political Parties Electoral District Supreme Election Council People’s Alliance Nation Alliance Labor and Freedom Alliance Zipper System

Election Political Preferences Voting Behavior Alliances Presidential Election Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Muharrem İnce Sinan Oğan Undecided Voters Parliament Simulation Distribution of Seats Erdoğan’s Report Card Strategic Voting Majoritarian System Electoral Threshold Voter Profiles Political Leaders Turkish Politics Erdogan's score card

Voter preferences Recep Tayyip Erdoğan performance evaluation Effects of Erdoğan’s potential election victory Party loyalty Presidential election preferences Erdoğan–Kılıçdaroğlu comparison Hasan Kirmanoğlu voter tendencies Memleket Partisi vote share

Election preferences Change in party preferences Tendency to vote Presidential candidate preferences Erdoğan’s likelihood of winning the election Opposition candidate’s likelihood of winning the election Opposition’s capacity to nominate a joint candidate Evaluation of Erdoğan’s performance Election scenarios Political expectations Perception of social polarization

Perception of the parliament Perception of democracy Trust in politicians Perception of Syrians Perception of politicians’ privileges Party affiliation Elite–people divide Representation preference Perception of compromise in politics People’s decision-making power Perception of populism Populism scores of voter clusters Populism tendencies

Presidential Preferences Political Identity Definitions Left-Right Spectrum Voter Behaviors Voter Segmentation Intra-Party Voter Profiles Dynamics of Political Preferences Evaluation of Erdoğan Possible Effects of Election Results Turkey’s Political Future Barometer December '22 Barometer 137 Election Trends Motivation to Vote

Barometer 137 December 2022 Barometer Operation Claw-Lock and Operation Euphrates Shield Turkey’s Cross-Border Military Interventions Northern Iraq Policy Syria Policy Security and Foreign Policy Public Reaction to Military Operations Social Media Access Restrictions Internet Freedom State Intervention and Freedom of Expression Security-Policy Balance Digital Rights and Censorship

Barometer 137 Negative Identification and Electoral Choice AK Parti Voter Tendency MHP Voter Tendency CHP Voter Tendency İYİ Parti Voter Tendency Saadet Voter Tendency DEVA Parti Voter Tendency Gelecek Partisi Voter Tendency Yeniden Refah Voter Tendency İşçi Partisi of Turkey Voter Tendency Government Bloc Opposition Bloc Other Political Parties Young Voter Behaviors Political Identity Among NEET Youth Ethnic Identity and Political Preference Support for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Support for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Support for Ekrem İmamoğlu Support for Mansur Yavaş Support for Meral Akşener December 2022 Barometer

Barometer 136 November 2022 Barometer Election Preferences and Presidential Candidate Choices Erdoğan or Kılıçdaroğlu Question Probability of Erdoğan Winning the Election Possible Impacts of Erdoğan’s Victory Economic Impact of Government Policies Household Budget and Economic Perception Evaluation of Erdoğan’s Performance Election Scenarios Potential Candidates Against Erdoğan Estimated Vote Share for Erdoğan

Barometer 134 September '22 Barometer Election Preferences and Tendency to Vote for Erdoğan Leader Preference: Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu Motivation to Vote Probability of Erdoğan Winning the Election Evaluation of Erdoğan’s Performance Change in Party Support Over Time Political Orientation and Voter Behavior

Barometer 134 September '22 Barometer September 2022 Barometer Evaluation of the AK Party Era Infrastructure Services Healthcare Services Social Assistance Programs Environmental Policies Quality of Education Democratization Process Economic Development Income Inequality Access to Housing