Search

Time Span

Topic, Method, Format

Language

Read Time

Elections

Voting preferences and expectations for general elections; local elections and referendums; detailed post-election ballot box analysis and change maps.

39 Results
By Date By Relevance

Political Preferences

February'25 Barometer - 161
37"
28 Feb 2025
The section analyzes and evaluates which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they would like to govern Turkey and th
Siyaset Oy tercihi Seçim Erdoğan RTE Cumhurbaşkanı Cumhurbaşkanı Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Erdoğan karne Türkiye'yi kim yönetsin? Devlet Bahçeli Ekrem İmamoğlu Mansur Yavaş Müsavat Dervişoğlu Özgür Özel Selahattin Demirtaş Ümit Özdağ Barometre 161

Political Preferences

January'25 Barometer - 160
50"
31 Jan 2025
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey, their expectations for ea
Politics Vote preference Election Erdogan RTE President President Recep Tayyip Erdogan Erdogan report card Early election Constitutional amendment Who should govern Turkey? Devlet Bahceli Ekrem İmamoglu Fatih Erbakan Mansur Yavas Müsavat Dervisoglu Ozgur Ozel Selahattin Demirtas Umit Ozdag Barometer160

How did KONDA Barometer spend the year 2024?

KONDA Barometer 2024 Almanac
1'05"
31 Dec 2024
As we leave the year behind, we wanted to take stock of how KONDA Barometer spent the year 2024. Since March 2010, KOND
Almanac Barometer

Political Preferences

November'24 Barometer - 158
1'11"
30 Nov 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, who they want to govern Turkey and President Erdoğan's report card:Which party
If there were an election today Who should govern Turkey Devlet Bahçeli Fatih Erbakan Mansur Yavaş Özgür Özel Müsavat Dervişoğlu Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Selahattin Demirtaş Ümit Özdağ Presidency Election Presidential Election Political Leaders Leaders Erdoğan's report card Report card President's report card Ekrem İmamoğlu

Political Preferences

July'24 Barometer - 155
1'24"
31 Jul 2024
This section examines participants' voting preferences if an election were held today, as well as their evaluations of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Min
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Hasan Kirmanoğlu Vote Preference Mehmet Şimşek report card Erdoğan's report card President Minister of Treasury and Finance Inflation Economy Governance Duty

Political Preferences

June'24 Barometer - 154
49"
28 Jun 2024
The section includes participants' preferred political party if an election were held today, their self-placement on the left-right political spectrum, and t
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan AKP CHP MHP HDP DEM İYİP Vote preference Right-Left Right-Left Scale Erdoğan's report card President report card AK Party Good Party Victory Party ZP YRP Swing voters Non voters Election

Political Preferences

May'24 Barometer - 153
18"
31 May 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today and President Erdoğan's report card.Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)What is your report card grade on Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's performance as president?

Electoral Maps by Districts

April'24 Barometer - 152
53"
30 Apr 2024
In the section, the results of the March 31st Local Elections are analyzed on a district-by-district basis through maps and cartograms:2014-2019-2024 local government elections - Inter-party vote transitions in district mayorship votes2014-2019-2024 - District mayorship - Most voted party/candidate maps2019 - 2024 - Map and cartogram of party changes in district ma
March 31 local elections Ak Parti MHP CHP Municipal elections District municipalities Provincial municipalities Dem Parti cartogram Zafer Partisi İyi Parti vote transitions votes turnout rates invalid votes invalid vote rates Ballot box analysis ballot box

31 March Research Notes on Local Government Elections

April'24 Barometer - 152
58"
30 Apr 2024
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu investigates the factors determining the district-based vote rates according to the results of the March 31st Local Elections. It also evaluates the effective number of parties and local elections in Turkey:Regression analysis resultsCorrespondence analysis resultsEffective number of parties
Vote rate Voter turnout Local elections 31 March 31 March Local Elections Kurdish Hasan Kirmanoglu District Turnout Regression Effective number of parties Ballot box analysis Correspondence analysis

Analysis of Election Results by Socio-Economic Development Level

April'24 Barometer - 152
23"
30 Apr 2024
The section correlates the district-based results of the March 31st Local Elections with the 2022 SEGE (Socio-Economic Development Index) scores. In addition, provinces are divided into four clusters according to the number of voters and compared in terms of voter preferences:Distribution of SEGE clusters by regionsDistrict municipal council vote preferences by socio-econom
Socio-Economic SEGE 2022 SEGE Şişli Harran Istanbul Şanlıurfa Election Local election District-based analysis SEGE clusters CHP Ak Parti CHP voters Ak Parti voters Voter clusters Clusters Voter sizes Number of voters Absentee voters Invalid votes

Numerical Analysis of 31 March Local Elections

April'24 Barometer - 152
1'15"
30 Apr 2024
The section includes the number of voters and voter turnout rates by provinces and districts, invalid votes, election results and comparison of 2019 and 2024 vote rates in the March 31 Local Elections:Local elections - TurnoutDistricts with the highest turnoutDistricts with the lowest turnoutDistricts with the highest increase in turnoutDistricts
Local elections Voter Turnout Voter turnout Voting 31 March 31 March elections 31 March Local Election Analysis Voting rate 31 March Local Elections Election results Invalis votes High turnout Low turnout Eastern Anatolia Southeastern Anatolia 2019 2024 2024 Local elections Ballot box Ballot box analysis

Post-Election Expectations

April'24 Barometer - 152
1'54"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines the expectations of the society after the March 31st Local Elections under the headings of political polarization, national economy, Kurdish issue, municipal services, freedoms, country governance, interference in lifestyle and municipality-government relations:How will municipal services change?How will freedoms change?How will municipality-go
Political polarization Polarization Kurdish issue Kurdish problem Kurdish Economy Country's economy Dollar Euro Exchange rate difference Municipality Local government Government Municipality and government Service Municipal service Local government service Improvement Worsening Government administration

Election Evaluations by Voters

April'24 Barometer - 152
2'40"
30 Apr 2024
The section analyzes respondents' evaluations of the March 31st Local Elections. The evaluations include the Ak Parti's economic management, the CHP's candidate preferences, the change of administration in the CHP,  the Ak Parti's candidate preferences, the work of Ak Parti municipalities and the work of CHP municipalities:Turkish society's assessment of the electionTh
Election Evaluation Voter Election Evaluation Ak Parti CHP MHP New administration Change of administration Change of administration in CHP CHP candidates Candidate Candidate list CHP won Ak Parti lost Ak Parti administration Government After the local elections Wrong candidate Right candidate Municipalism Good municipalism CHP municipalities Ak Parti municipalities

Winners and Losers of the Election

April'24 Barometer - 152
1'05"
30 Apr 2024
The section discusses who the winners and losers of the March 31st Local Elections were in the eyes of the society:Who and which politician do you think was the WINNER of these local elections?Who and which politician do you think was the LOSER of these local elections?
Winner of the Election Loser of the Election Election 31st of March Ekrem İmamoğlu Mansur Yavaş CHP Özgür Özel Ak Parti Recep Tayyip Erdoğan President RTE Devlet Bahçeli MHP İyi Parti Meral Akşener Yeniden Refah Partisi Fatih Erbakan 31 March Local Elections

Emotions After The Local Elections

April'24 Barometer - 152
1'06"
30 Apr 2024
The episode includes an analysis of the emotions felt after the March 31st Local Elections:Which 2 emotions did you feel after the election on March 31st?
Local Election March 31 Anger Surprise Joy Relief Disappointment Concern March 31 local elections Election result CHP Ak Parti DEM HDP MHP İyi Parti Post-election Post-election emotions Emotions after the election March 31 Local Elections

Tracking Local Election Results

April'24 Barometer - 152
41"
30 Apr 2024
The section analyzes the channels through which respondents followed the election results:From which 2 sources did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which television channel did you follow the election results on March 31st?Which social media application or website did you follow the election results on March 31st?
Local Elections Local Election Results 31 March Local Election Analysis 31 March elections Television Internet Social Media Twitter/X X Twitter Following the election results Ak Parti CHP MHP DEM HDP YSP İyi Parti FOX TV NOW TV ANKA ANKA News ANKA News Agency AA Anadolu Agency NTV TRT SHOW TV CNN TURK KANAL D ATV A HABER TRT HABER SZC TV Sözcü TV Halk TV Turk Star Kanal 7 TV100 News channels

Local Elections

April'24 Barometer - 152
2'09"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines tactical voting in the March 31st Local Elections, satisfaction with vote choice, and the time when vote choice is decided. Also, Assistant Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz from Bryn Mawr College Assoc. Prof. Dr. Aytuğ Şaşmaz discusses the voters who broke away from the Ak Parti -MHP bloc:In the March 31st Local Elections, which party's candidate did you vote for for the
Local Elections March 31st CHP Tactical Vote Vote behavior Undecided Provincial elections Municipal elections March 31st 2024 March 31st local elections Vote preference satisfaction Coalition Barometer 152 Aytuğ Şaşmaz Ak Parti-MHP Bloc Ak Parti-MHP

Political Preferences

April'24 Barometer - 152
1'01"
30 Apr 2024
The section examines the public's opinions on the results of the March 31st Local Elections and which party they would vote for if there was an election today:Election evaluation of the society in TurkeyWho and which politician do you think has been the LOSER of these local elections?Who do you think was the WINNER of these local elections and which politician?
If there was an election today March 31 Political Preferences Local elections Municipal elections Political Parties Political Leaders CHP Ak Party MHP İyi Party DEM Vote Vote preference March 31 Local Elections

Scorecards of Politicians Regarding Their Performances During the Election Period

April'24 Barometer - 152
2'10"
30 Apr 2024
In addition to Erdoğan's scorecard, which is released every month, the section analyzes the scorecard grades given by the participants to political party leaders and the two prominent candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu and Mansur Yavaş during the local election process:Average scorecard grades for the election process.Yavaş's scorecardİmamoğlu's scorecardErbakan's
Political Leaders Party Leaders Election process March 31st elections Local Elections RTE President President Erdoğan Imamoğlu Ekrem İmamoğlu Mansur Yavaş İBB ABB Istanbul Ankara Municipality elections Meral Akşener Fatih Erbakan Akşener Erbakan Tülay Hatimoğulları DEM Parti HDP Özgür Özel CHP Tactical vote Tuncer Bakırhan Scorecard Scorecard grades

“We Are Candidates By Destiny”: While Going To An Election Where We Are Elected While Electing

March'24 Barometer - 151
50"
29 Mar 2024
Bölümde, belediye meclis üye sayıları ve yerel seçime dair genel bir çerçeve çiziliyor.
Nasipse Adayız Ercan Kesal Local Elections Municipal Elections Provincial Council Province District Local District Candidate Council Members Number of Provincial Council Members Ak Parti MHP CHP İyi Parti HDP DEM Provincial Population District Population Istanbul Istanbul Elections Istanbul Provincial Council Istanbul District Council District Municipal Council Districts of Istanbul Istanbul Districts

How The Two Candidates In Istanbul Are Local Positioned In Terms Of Contradictions Across Turkey?

March'24 Barometer - 151
25"
29 Mar 2024
In the episode, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu gives his assessments on the prominent candidates in Istanbul in the upcoming local elections.
Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu Hasan Kirmanoğlu Local Election Local Elections Municipal Elections Municipal Election Candidates Local Election Candidates Candidate Evaluation Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum İmamoğlu Kurum IMM Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Istanbul Elections Istanbul Candidates March Elections

Assessment of Candidates for the IMM Presidency

March'24 Barometer - 151
4'26"
29 Mar 2024
The section examines the evaluations of Istanbul residents on the candidates announced before the March 31st Local Elections and their thoughts on post-election scenarios:Which candidate do you think is more suitable for the following characteristics?Which candidate do you think is more suitable for the characteristic "honest"?"Skilled in problem solving" is more s
IMM Istanbul Metropolitan Municipality Istanbul Elections Istanbul Election Candidates IMM Candidates Local Elections Istanbul Municipal Election Istanbul Election Nominees Local Election Candidates Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum Oratory Istanbul Problems of Istanbul Honest Sincere Buğra Kavuncu Meral Danış Beştaş Mehmet Altınöz Sinem Dedetaş Mahir Polat Deniz Köken Ahmet Özer Mehmet Tevfik Göksu Rıza Akpolat

Political Preferences in Istanbul

March'24 Barometer - 151
3'08"
29 Mar 2024
The section focuses on which party the respondents would vote for if there was a general election today, their local election voting preferences in Istanbul, the course of political preferences in Istanbul, who will win the IBB Presidency, voter turnout, local election voting behavior and voter profiles:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preferenc
March 31 Local Elections Election Vote Undecided Voters Voter Voter Profile IMM Mayoralty IMM Mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu Murat Kurum Meral Danış Beştaş Buğra Kavuncu Birol Aydın Mehmet Altınöz Azmi Karamahmutoğlu CHP AK Party Undecided Voter Turnout

Political Preferences

February'24 Barometer - 150
1'24"
29 Feb 2024
The section analyzes and evaluates which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, the report card grade they gave to President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and their views on the current economic management:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)In general, which of the following
Political Preferences Vote preference Election General election Parliamentary election Party preference Voter Behavior Erdogan scorecard President Erdoğan Economic management Economic prosperity Ideological voter Last minute voter Voter Leader Fan Fan voter Voter clusters

Voting Preferences in Local Elections

February'24 Barometer - 150
3'10"
29 Feb 2024
The section examines the factors affecting voters' voting preferences in local elections and the correlation between these preferences and voter clusters as the March 31st local elections approach:If a local election were held today, who would you vote for and which party would you vote for?Which explains your vote preference in local elections?When you vote for th
General election Local election Vote preference Party affiliation Ruling party Mayoral candidate Urban life Urban satisfaction City life facilities Municipality facilities Voter profile Voter satisfaction Municipality satisfaction Local election vote preference Political party decisions

Analysis of Political Party Leaders' Speeches

Januray'24 Barometer - 149
1'02"
31 Jan 2024
The section analyzes the discourses in the parliamentary speeches of political party leaders and President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's speeches following the cabinet meetings using the “dictionary method”:Populism scores of political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of 8 different topics in political leaders' speechesProportional distribution of the topics men
Leaders Discourse analysis Local elections March 31st elections Election discourses Recep Tayyip Erdoğan President Meral Akşener Devlet Bahçeli Özgür Özel İyi Parti MHP Terror Turkey Budget Martyr Ak Parti CHP

Observations on Non-Polarized Voters

Januray'24 Barometer - 149
1'01"
31 Jan 2024
In the section, Prof. Dr. Hasan Kirmanoğlu examines the demographic characteristics and tendencies of voters who identify themselves as “swing” and “non-voters” through regression analysis.
Undecided Non voters Ak Parti CHP Ak Parti voters CHP voters Polarization Political Polarization Right-Left Scale Hasan Kirmanoglu

Political Preferences

Januray'24 Barometer - 149
1'12"
31 Jan 2024
The section includes which party respondents would prefer to vote for if elections were held today, President Erdoğan's scorecard, the characteristics they think a politician should have, and where they see themselves and their families on the left-right scale:Which party would you vote for if there was an election today? (direct preference and swing voters distributed)Whic
Elections LEFT RIGHT Left and Right Left-Right Left-Right Scale Voter profile Left voter Right voter Leftist Rightist Left-Right tendency

Society’s 2023 Agenda: Events That Sticked in Mind

December'23 Barometer - 148
26"
31 Dec 2023
This section explores which events from 2023 stood out the most in people's memories when they think about what happened in the country in 2024:What was the most significant event in the country that remained in your mind from 2023? (open-ended)
The year of 2023 Memorable events February 6 earthquake February 6–7 earthquakes Kahramanmaraş earthquakes Collective memory Most significant event of 2023 Perception of major societal events Open-ended memory question Highlights of Turkey’s public agenda

Local Election Calendar

December'23 Barometer - 148
30"
31 Dec 2023
The section covers important developments regarding local elections as of January 1, 2024.
March 31st elections March 31st local elections Local Election

Political Preferences

December'23 Barometer - 148
1'55"
31 Dec 2023
The section covers participants' current party preferences if there were an election today, where they place themselves on the left-right spectrum, the identities/labels they use to describe themselves, how much they like Erdoğan, and scorecard ratings for Erdoğan, Özgür Özel, and Ali Yerlikaya:If there were an election today, which party would you vote for? (both direct preference and after di
Party preferences Distribution of undecided voters Left-right political spectrum Political identity labels Erdoğan favorability Erdoğan scorecard grade Özgür Özel scorecard grade Ali Yerlikaya scorecard grade

KONDA Biopsy Report

November'23 Barometer - 147
1'38"
30 Nov 2023
The section analyzes the “Biopsy Report,” which examines the discrepancy between the results of KONDA's field research prior to the May 14, 2023 general elections and the actual election results. The study addresses claims regarding the power of polls to influence public opinion and emphasizes the need for a methodological discussion of the issue. The report questions processes such as methodol
KONDA Biopsy Report Election Survey Methodology Sampling Design Weighting Demographic Variables Education Age May 14th Election

Political Preferences

September'23 Barometer - 145
7"
29 Sep 2023
The section includes which party participants would vote for if there were an election today, an analysis of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's score card, and how much participants like Erdoğan:If there were an election today, which party would you vote for? (direct preferences and undecided voters distributed)If you were to give a score card grade, what grade would you
Election preferences Party preference Undecided voters Voting tendency Voter behavior Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Presidential performance Evaluation of Erdoğan Erdoğan’s approval level Political leader evaluation Current politics Public opinion poll Political analysis Election survey Erdogans score card

Analysis of the In-Depth Interviews With Voters Who Supported Kılıçdaroğlu on 14 and 28 May Elections

July'23 Barometer - 144
3'07"
31 Jul 2023
The section examines the reasons behind the decisions of voters who chose Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu in the presidential elections, as well as their hopes, expectations, and concerns:Views on Kılıçdaroğlu and the OppositionWhat Makes an Ideal Leader?Views on Erdoğan and the GovernmentMeaningsAnalysis of Dominant Emotions and Left-Wing Populism
Presidential election Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Kılıçdaroğlu voters Voter motivations Voter expectations Voter concerns Perception of the opposition View of Kılıçdaroğlu View of Erdoğan Perception of the government Ideal leader profile Leadership expectations Political emotions Dominant emotions Left-wing populism World of meaning Voter evaluation Political analysis Hope and expectation Opposition voter profile

Political Preferences

July'23 Barometer - 144
2"
31 Jul 2023
The section includes which party participants would vote for if elections were held today, an analysis of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu's report card grades, and how much participants like Erdoğan:If elections were held today, which party would you vote for? (direct preferences and undecided voters distributed)If you were to give a score card grade, wha
Voting preferences Party preference Undecided voters Voter behavior Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Presidential performance evaluation Erdoğan’s report card Kılıçdaroğlu’s report card Leader approval Political leader evaluation Election scenario Public opinion poll Political perception Voter attitudes Political approval Leadership evaluation Hypothetical election Voter decision-making process Political image

The Effect of Natural Disasters on Voting Behavior: A Literature Review

February'23 Barometer - 139
1'20"
28 Feb 2023
This section analyzes the impact of natural disasters on voting habits and examines the concept of “voter gratitude”.
earthquake natural disaster earthquake and election Barometer139 voter gratitude impact of the earthquake

The Relationship between the Ruling Bloc's Vote Change and Some Economic Indicators

February'23 Barometer - 139
59"
28 Feb 2023
This section analyzes the course of change in the direct vote share of the Ak Parti and MHP according to the dollar exchange rate, consumer confidence index and the expectation of an economic crisis in Turkey:Changes in the direct vote share of the Ak Parti and MHP according to the dollar exchange rate, consumer confidence index and the expectation of an economic crisis in Turkey.
exchange rate consumer confidence index economic crisis expectation of economic crisis AK Party MHP ruling bloc vote shift

Political Preferences

December'22 Barometer - 137
12"
30 Dec 2022
This section examines voters' current political preferences, their tendency to vote, their ideological positions, voter behavior clusters, and their assessments of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's political performance:If there were an election today, who or which party would you vote for?If there were an election today, would you go to the polls to vote based on your current mood?
Presidential Preferences Political Identity Definitions Left-Right Spectrum Voter Behaviors Voter Segmentation Intra-Party Voter Profiles Dynamics of Political Preferences Evaluation of Erdoğan Possible Effects of Election Results Turkey’s Political Future Barometer December '22 Barometer 137 Election Trends Motivation to Vote

Negative Party Identity in Turkey

December'22 Barometer - 137
1'11"
30 Dec 2022
In this section, we look at how negative identity has become a key factor in Turkish politics, including how it affects voters' party and leader choices, their attitudes toward the ruling and opposition blocs, the profiles of young voters, and the dynamics of political distancing based on ethnic origin:The Key Dynamic in Turkish Politics: Negative IdentityIf elections were
Barometer 137 Negative Identification and Electoral Choice AK Parti Voter Tendency MHP Voter Tendency CHP Voter Tendency İYİ Parti Voter Tendency Saadet Voter Tendency DEVA Parti Voter Tendency Gelecek Partisi Voter Tendency Yeniden Refah Voter Tendency İşçi Partisi of Turkey Voter Tendency Government Bloc Opposition Bloc Other Political Parties Young Voter Behaviors Political Identity Among NEET Youth Ethnic Identity and Political Preference Support for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Support for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu Support for Ekrem İmamoğlu Support for Mansur Yavaş Support for Meral Akşener December 2022 Barometer